Spread Moneyline Over Under
The -170 and +150 are money lines which are used in moneyline bets. The -6 and +6 are the point spread which are used in a spread bet. The over 44 and under 44 are the total points which are used in the total bet. The minus sign (-) always indicates the favorite. The plus sign (+) always indicates the underdog. Super Bowl Betting Guide: Spread, moneyline, over/under, player props picks. Posted By: Marie Maynes February 5, 2021. BetQL's Sloan Piva breaks down the divisional round odds and highlights his favorite spread, moneyline, and over/under picks, which include the Rams, Bills, Browns, and Chiefs.
- Bettors can cover the spread playing with over under betting or on a money line bet. It’s another option available to sportsbook players. Rather than simply selecting odds on certain events (moneyline bet; winners, losers, over/under, etc.), it allows bettors to enjoy a market where a team must win or not lose by a predetermined margin of points.
- If the point spread is low, such as +2.5, the odds will likely be greater to just bet that team to win outright rather than succumb to their opponent by two or fewer points. If an underdog team has a spread of +2.5, the odds for that may be -160 whereas for them to win outright would likely be.
With just two weeks remaining in the 2020 NFL regular season, just about every game in Week 16 contains some degree of playoff implication. Keen bettors will be looking for any edge to attack in hopes of winning big and paying off those pesky post-holiday bills!
Every week, this column provides a detailed breakdown of our favorite bets, weaving in a preview of exclusive data from BetQL. This compilation serves as a mere sneak preview of all that BetQL offers, whether you prefer betting against the spread, moneylines, or over/unders. Check us out now to reveal our full betting predictions for every game of Week 16, including projections and best bet ratings from our NFL Best Bet Model.
All data presented is as of Friday morning. You can track all NFL line movement on BetQL’s Line Movement Dashboard.
WEEK 16 FANTASY PPR RANKINGS:
Quarterback Running back Wide receiver Tight end D/ST Kicker
All data presented is as of Friday morning. You can track all NFL line movement on BetQL’s Line Movement Dashboard.
NFL Week 16 Betting Picks: Spread pick of the week
Cincinnati Bengals (+9) at Houston Texans
To some, picking the 3-10-1 Bengals in a short week after they upset the 11-2 Steelers might seem like the equivalent of chasing points in fantasy football. But anyone who watched that Monday Night Football game knows that Pittsburgh didn’t just choke last week — the Bengals also fought for that win. What a breath of fresh air that must have been for Cincinnati coach Zac Taylor, who has witnessed his team suffer countless setbacks during their 2020 campaign.
Third-string QB Ryan Finley showed remarkable poise against a strong Pittsburgh defense, and now he draws one of the most vulnerable secondaries in the NFL in Houston. The Texans rank 31st in total yards allowed (402.6 per game) and have given up an average of 2.3 passing touchdowns per game over the past three weeks. They also serve as the second-worst rushing defense this season, surrendering 150.5 yards per game on the ground.
The Texans are currently on a three-game losing streak, during which they have been outscored 89-47. Even still, with Deshaun Watson under center, we at BetQL expect the Texans to win this game, but we have no reason to think they will win it by 10 points. Cincinnati’s defense showed last week that it shouldn’t be counted out based on its record, and Finley can compete when given the chance and fully prepped for the start.
We would feel much more confident in this pick if wide receiver Tyler Boyd clears concussion protocol, but we think the Bengals cover the +9 even if they just have veteran A.J. Green and rookie Tee Higgins out wide. They should also be able to open up the field a bit if veteran back Gio Bernard can pick up where he left off last week (97 total yards, two touchdowns).
The BetQL Best Bet Model features this as one of its top underdog picks against the spread this week, listing it with a full five-star confidence rating. Plain and simple, the Bengals stay in games and have covered in eight of their 14 games against the spread. Meanwhile, Houston ranks near the bottom of the NFL against the spread this season (5-9), and has gone just 2-4 ATS at home. Bet the undies, and then tell everyone at your Zoom Year’s Eve Party that you won money wagering on Ryan Finley and the Bengals.
WEEK 16 FANTASY: Sleepers Busts Start ’em, sit ’em
NFL Week 16 Betting Picks: Moneyline pick of the week
Pittsburgh Steelers (+110) vs. Indianapolis Colts
Full disclosure: Pittsburgh has been abysmal lately, losing three consecutive games culminating in a 27-17 Monday Night Football shocker by the aforementioned Bengals. The Steelers haven’t scored 20 points in a game since Nov. 22 and have inched their way to the top of the NFL leaderboard in dropped passes (27 total, alongside Dallas). But something tells us Steelers coach Mike Tomlin will have his team ready at home against Indy this weekend.
Steelers Nation knows this is a must-win for their team — not just for morale but also to retain the No. 2 seed in the AFC. Tomlin’s squad has dropped each of its past two road contests and won 10 of its past 12 home games dating back to 2019. So, yes, this game looms large for the Steel City. And, yes, Pittsburgh should be listed as the favorite despite its recent struggles.
The Steelers rank second or better in a plethora of defensive categories, and allow the second-fewest passing yards per game (193.3). That’s one mark that hasn’t changed one bit over the course of the past three games, during which they have (incredibly) allowed 193.7 passing yards per game. Contrast that with Indy, which has served as a great defense in its own right but has faltered a bit as of late. The Colts have surrendered an average of 331.7 passing yards over the past three weeks, which ranks last in the NFL.
The BetQL Best Bet Model lists Pittsburgh’s +110 moneyline as a four-star bet. The Model also points out a five-star trend: Throughout his Steelers coaching career, Tomlin has gone 39-7 in home games in which the total is between 42.5 and 49 points. This game’s over/under is smack-dab in the middle of that range, at 44.5. The Steelers crack 20 points for the first time in five games and win by a field goal, 23-20.
Spread Moneyline Over Under
WEEK 16 NFL DFS: Best stacks Best values Lineup Builder
NFL Week 16 Betting Picks: Over/under pick of the week
Cardinals vs. 49ers: OVER 49
Our sharp bettor report tells us that around 86 percent of money is on the UNDER in this game, and I can’t imagine why. Kyler Murray and the Cardinals finally started cooking again, winning two straight games and posting 59 total points in the process. They even put up 28 points in a losing effort against the stout defense of the Rams three weeks ago.
The perception in Vegas and among bettors seems to be that the 49ers have an above-average defense and therefore will swing the game UNDER. But San Francisco has been banged up all season, and the Niners D has spent so much time on the field they have shown obvious fatigue the past few weeks. Robert Saleh’s squad has surrendered an average of 25.1 points per game in 2020 and a whopping 32.7 points per game over the past three games (the latter of which is tied for third most in the NFL). The Cardinals, meanwhile, average over 23 points allowed on the season and in the past three weeks.
But this becomes a no-brainer when you look at Murray and the Cards’ scoring output and identify what kind of a game this will likely be. They have scored an average of 27.9 points per game in 2020 and 29 points per game over the past three games. The 49ers, meanwhile, have maintained their season-long scoring mean (23.8 points per game), averaging an even 24 points over the past few weeks.
Spread Moneyline Over Under Armour
With Arizona back to its high-flying offensive ways, and San Francisco putting points on the board with backup QBs (33 points in Dallas last week!), this feels like the under-the-radar over/under to target this week. I’m personally projecting a 30-24 Arizona win that keeps the Cardinals in the NFC wild card race.
Spread Moneyline Over Under 50
Head over to BetQL to see our model’s best bet, sharp data and much more for this game and every Week 16 contest! You can find all updated NFL lines, spreads, and odds at BetQL ! Thanks for reading, and have a happy, healthy, and safe Christmas!